Four 1’s unique, but not so different than what we’ve seen before

homer-sleeps.gif Guess the big boys showed us, eh? Forgot that charming George Mason story from 2006 - we need predictability! And thus we have a first: Four number one seeds in the Final Four.

Congrats hombres. Still, while it’s new, we’ve been darn close before.

Three times previous - 1999, 97, and 93 - a trio of one seeds made the Final Four (although in 1997 the only non-one, 4th-seeded Arizona, took the crown). And if you look at the seed averages from every Final Four since the field expanded in 1985 to at least 64 teams, many years are close to 2008, and you’ll see a lot of the most predictable Final Fours in the last decade:

Year Seed Average Seeds Final Four Teams
2008 1.00 1,1,1,1 Memphis, UCLA, UNC, Kansas
1993 1.25 1,1,1,2 Michigan, UNC, Kentucky, Kansas
2007 1.50 1,1,2,2 Florida, Ohio State, UCLA, Georgetown
2001 1.75 1,1,2,3 Duke, Michigan State, Arizona, Maryland
1997 1.75 1,1,1,4 UNC, Kentucky, Minnesota, Arizona
1999 1.75 1,1,1,4 Connecticut, Duke, Michigan State, Ohio State
1991 1.75 1,1,2,3 UNLV, UNC, Duke, Kansas

The most common scenario? Two number-one seeds have made the Final Four ten times since ‘85, and only one top seed has made it nine times.

The only time no top seeds have made the Final Four since the expansion to 64 teams? The George Mason year of 2006, which somewhat surprisingly doesn’t have the highest seed average:

   
Year Seed Average Seeds Final Four Teams
2000 5.40 1,5,8,8 Michigan State, Florida, Wisconsin, North Carolina
2006 5.00 2,3,4,11 UCLA, Florida, LSU, George Mason
1986 3.75 1,1,2,11 Duke, Kansas, Louisville, LSU
1992 3.25 1,2,4,6 Duke, Indiana, Cincinnati, Michigan
1990 3.00 1,3,4,4 UNLV, Duke, Georgia Tech, Arkansas
1985 3.00 1,1,2,8 St. John’s, Georgetown, Memphis, Villanova

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